a9278s
UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
WASHINGTON, D.C. 20549
FORM 6-K
REPORT OF FOREIGN PRIVATE ISSUER PURSUANT TO RULE 13a-16 OR
15d-16
UNDER THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934
February, 2026
Commission File Number 001-10306
NatWest Group plc
250 Bishopsgate,
London, EC2M 4AA
United Kingdom
(Address
of principal executive offices)
Indicate
by check mark whether the registrant files or will file annual
reports under cover of Form 20-F or Form 40-F.
The
following information was issued as Company announcements in
London, England and is furnished pursuant to General Instruction B
to the General Instructions to Form 6-K:
NatWest Group plc 13 February 2026
Annual Report and Accounts 2025
Pillar 3 Report 2025
A copy of the Annual Report and Accounts 2025 for NatWest Group plc will
shortly be submitted to the National Storage
Mechanism and will be available for inspection
at https://data.fca.org.uk/#/nsm/nationalstoragemechanism. The
document will be available on NatWest Group plc's website
at https://investors.natwestgroup.com/reports-archive
A printed version will be mailed to shareholders who have opted for
a hard copy ahead of the Annual General Meeting for which formal
Notice will be given in due course.
We have also published the 2025 Pillar 3 report, available on our
website.
For further information, please contact:
Media Relations
+44 (0) 131 523 4205
Investor relations
Claire Kane
+44 (0) 207 672 1758
For the purpose of compliance with the Disclosure Guidance and
Transparency Rules, this announcement also contains risk factors
and details of related party transactions extracted from the Annual
Report and Accounts 2025 in full unedited text. Page references in
the text refer to page numbers in the Annual Report and Accounts
2025.
Principal Risks and Uncertainties
Principal Risks and Uncertainties
Set out below are certain risk factors that could have a material
adverse effect on NatWest Group's future results, its financial
condition and/or prospects and cause them to be materially
different from what is forecast or expected, and directly or
indirectly impact the value of its securities. These risk factors
are broadly categorised and should be read in conjunction with
other risk factors in this section and other parts of this annual
report, including the forward-looking statements section, the
strategic report and the risk and capital management section. They
should not be regarded as a complete and comprehensive statement of
all potential risks and uncertainties facing NatWest
Group.
Economic and political risk
NatWest Group, its customers and its counterparties face continued
economic and political risks and uncertainties in the UK and global
markets, including as a result of inflation and interest rates,
supply chain disruption, protectionist policies, and geopolitical
developments.
As a principally UK-focused banking group, NatWest Group is
affected by global economic and market conditions and is
particularly exposed to those conditions in the UK. Uncertain and
volatile economic conditions in the UK or globally can create a
challenging operating environment for financial services companies
such as NatWest Group. The outlook for the UK and the global
economy is affected by many dynamic factors including: GDP,
unemployment, inflation and interest rates, asset prices (including
residential and commercial property), energy prices, monetary and
fiscal policy (such as increases in bank taxes), supply chain
disruption, protectionist policies or trade barriers (including
tariffs).
Economic and market conditions could be exacerbated by a number of
factors including: instability in the UK and/or global financial
systems, market volatility and change, fluctuations in the value of
the pound sterling, new or extended economic sanctions, volatility
in commodity prices, political uncertainty or instability, concerns
regarding sovereign debt (including sovereign credit ratings), any
lack or perceived lack of creditworthiness of a counterparty or
borrower that may trigger market-wide liquidity problems, changing
demographics in the markets that NatWest Group and its customers
serve, rapid changes to the economic environment due to the
adoption of technology, digitisation, automation, artificial
intelligence, decarbonisation, or due to the consequences of
climate change, biodiversity loss, environmental degradation, and
widening social and economic inequalities.
NatWest Group is also exposed to risks arising out of geopolitical
events or political developments that may hinder economic or
financial activity levels and may, directly or indirectly, impact
UK, regional or global trade and/or NatWest Group's customers and
counterparties. NatWest Group's business and performance could be
negatively affected by political, military or diplomatic events,
geopolitical tensions, armed conflict (for example, the
Russia-Ukraine conflict and Middle East conflicts), terrorist acts
or threats (including to critical infrastructures), more severe and
frequent extreme weather events, widespread public health crises,
and the responses to any of the above scenarios by various
governments and markets.
NatWest Group may face political uncertainty in Scotland if there
is another Scottish independence referendum. Scottish independence
may adversely affect NatWest Group plc both in relation to its
entities incorporated in Scotland and in other jurisdictions. Any
changes to Scotland's relationship with the UK or the EU may
adversely affect the environment in which NatWest Group plc and its
subsidiaries operate and may require further changes to NatWest
Group, independently or in conjunction with other mandatory or
strategic structural and organisational changes, any of which could
adversely affect NatWest Group.
The value of NatWest Group's own and other securities may be
materially affected by economic and market conditions. Market
volatility, illiquid market conditions and disruptions in the
financial markets may make it very difficult to value certain of
NatWest Group's own and other securities, particularly during
periods of market displacement. This could cause a decline in the
value of NatWest Group's own and other securities, or inaccurate
carrying values for certain financial instruments.
In addition, financial markets are susceptible to severe events
evidenced by, or resulting in, rapid depreciation in asset values,
which may be accompanied by a reduction in asset liquidity. Under
these conditions, hedging and other risk management strategies may
not be as effective at mitigating losses as they would be under
more normal market conditions. Moreover, under these conditions,
market participants are particularly exposed to trading strategies
employed by many market participants simultaneously (and often
automatically) and on a large scale, increasing NatWest Group's
counterparty risk.
NatWest Group's risk management and monitoring processes seek to
quantify and mitigate NatWest Group's exposure to extreme market
moves. However, market events have historically been difficult to
predict, and NatWest Group, its customers and its counterparties
could realise significant losses if severe market events were to
occur.
Any of the above may have a material adverse effect on NatWest
Group's future results, financial condition, prospects, and/or
reputation.
Changes in interest rates will continue to affect NatWest Group's
business and results.
NatWest Group's performance is affected by changes in interest
rates. Benchmark overnight interest rates, such as the UK base
rate, decreased in 2025. Forward rates imply UK short term interest
rates, including the UK base rate, will continue to decline in
2026, while they anticipate longer term swap rates, such as the GBP
5 and 10-year swap rates, will rise slightly across 2026. Stable
interest rates support more predictable income flow and less
volatility in asset and liability valuations, although persistently
low and negative interest rates may adversely affect NatWest Group.
Further, volatility in interest rates may result in unexpected
outcomes both for interest income and asset and liability
valuations which may adversely affect NatWest Group. For example,
decreases in key benchmark rates such as the UK base rate may
adversely affect NatWest Group's net interest margin, and
unexpected movements in spreads between key benchmark rates such as
sovereign and swap rates may in turn affect liquidity portfolio
valuations. In addition, unexpected sharp rises in rates may also
have negative impacts on some asset and derivative
valuations.
Moreover, customer and investor responses to rapid changes in
interest rates can have an adverse effect on NatWest Group. For
example, customers may make deposit choices that provide them with
higher returns than those being offered by NatWest Group.
Alternatively, NatWest Group may not respond with competitive
products as rapidly, for example following an interest rate change,
which may in turn decrease NatWest Group's net interest
income.
Movements in interest rates also influence and reflect the
macroeconomic situation more broadly, affecting factors such as
business and consumer confidence, property prices, default rates on
loans, customer behaviour (which may adversely impact the
effectiveness of NatWest Group's hedging strategy) and other
indicators that may indirectly affect NatWest Group.
Any of the above may have a material adverse effect on NatWest
Group's future results, financial condition, prospects, and/or
reputation.
Fluctuations in currency exchange rates may adversely affect
NatWest Group's results and financial condition.
Decisions of central banks (including the Bank of England ('BoE'),
the European Central Bank ('ECB') and the US Federal Reserve) and
political or market events, which are outside NatWest Group's
control, may lead to unexpected fluctuations in currency exchange
rates. Although NatWest Group is principally a UK-focused banking
group, it is subject to structural foreign exchange risk from
capital deployed in NatWest Group's foreign subsidiaries, branches
and other strategic equity shareholdings.
NatWest Group also relies on issuing securities in non-sterling
currencies, such as US dollars and euros, that assist in meeting
NatWest Group's regulatory requirements. In addition, NatWest Group
conducts banking activities in non-sterling currencies (for
example, loans, deposits and dealing activity) which affect its
revenue. NatWest Group also uses service providers based outside
the UK for certain services and as a result certain operating
results are subject to fluctuations in currency exchange
rates.
NatWest Group maintains policies and procedures designed to manage
the impact of its exposure to fluctuations in currency exchange
rates. Nevertheless, changes in currency exchange rates,
particularly in the sterling-US dollar and sterling-euro rates, may
adversely affect various accounting and financial metrics
including, the value of assets, liabilities (including the total
amount of instruments eligible to contribute towards the minimum
requirement for own funds and eligible liabilities ('MREL')),
foreign exchange dealing activity, income and expenses, RWAs and
hence the reported earnings and financial condition of NatWest
Group.
Any of the above may have a material adverse effect on NatWest
Group's future results, financial condition, prospects, and/or
reputation.
Business change and execution risk
The implementation and execution of NatWest Group's strategy
carries execution and operational risks and it may not achieve its
stated aims and targeted outcomes.
NatWest Group's strategy (including the strategic priorities of
disciplined growth, leveraging simplification and active balance
sheet and risk management) is intended to reflect the rapidly
changing environment and backdrop of significant societal
disruption driven by technology and changing customer
expectations.
There is also increasing scrutiny from stakeholders regarding how
NatWest Group addresses environmental and social challenges,
including its support for the transition to net zero, promotion of
inclusive workplaces, protection of customer data, and responsible
management of its workforce and of its supply chain.
Many factors may adversely impact the successful implementation of
NatWest Group's strategy, including:
−
macroeconomic challenges which
may adversely affect NatWest Group's customers, and could in turn
adversely impact certain strategic initiatives for NatWest Group
(see 'NatWest Group, its customers and its counterparties face
continued economic and political risks and uncertainties in the UK
and global markets, including as a result of inflation and interest
rates, supply chain disruption, protectionist policies, and
geopolitical developments');
−
changing
customer expectations and behaviour in response to macroeconomic
conditions or developments, technology and other factors which
could reduce the profitability, competitiveness, or volume of
services NatWest Group offers;
−
the
rapid emergence and deployment of new technologies (such as
artificial intelligence, quantum computing, blockchain and digital
currencies) resulting in a potential shift across the market
towards products and services that are not part of NatWest Group's
core offering today;
−
the
deployment and integration of artificial intelligence in NatWest
Group's processes, controls, and products;
−
the
emergence of digital assets and digital currencies operating
alongside the traditional monetary system;
−
increased
competitive threats from incumbent banks, fintech companies
(including buy-now-pay-later companies and payment platforms),
large retail and technology conglomerates and other new market
entrants (including those that emerge from mergers and
consolidations) who may have competitive advantages in terms of
scale, technology and customer engagement; and
−
changes
to the regulatory environment and associated requirements which
could lead to shifts in operating cost and regulatory capital
requirements that impact NatWest Group's product offerings and
business models (see 'NatWest Group's businesses are subject to
substantial regulation and oversight, which are constantly evolving
and may adversely affect NatWest Group' and 'NatWest Group could
incur losses or be required to maintain higher levels of capital as
a result of limitations or failure of various
models').
Delivery of NatWest Group's strategy will require:
−
maintaining
effective governance, procedures, systems and controls giving
effect to NatWest Group's strategy;
−
maintaining
effective conflicts of interest policies to mitigate the risk of
breach of the UK ring-fencing regime due to the creation of the
Commercial & Institutional business segment;
and
−
achieving
the stated financial, capital and operational targets and
expectations within the relevant timeframes.
In pursuing its strategy, NatWest Group may not be able to
successfully: (i) implement some or all aspects of its strategy;
(ii) meet any or all of the related targets or expectations of its
strategy; and otherwise realise the anticipated benefits of its
strategy, in a timely manner, or at all; or (iii) realise the
intended strategic objectives of any other future strategic or
growth initiative, which may also result in materially higher costs
or risks than initially contemplated. This could lead to additional
management actions by NatWest Group. The scale and scope of NatWest
Group's strategy and the intended changes continue to present
material business, operational and regulatory (including compliance
with the UK ring-fencing regime), conflicts, legal, execution, IT
system, cybersecurity, internal culture, conduct and people risks.
Implementing changes and strategic actions, including in respect of
any growth, simplification or cost-saving initiatives, requires the
effective application of robust governance and controls frameworks
and IT systems and there is a risk that NatWest Group may not be
successful in these respects.
Additionally, as a result of the UK's withdrawal from the EU,
certain aspects of the services provided by NatWest Group require
local licences or individual equivalence decisions (temporary or
otherwise) by relevant regulators. In April 2024, the European
Parliament approved the Banking Package (CRR III/CRD VI). From 11
January 2027, non-EU firms providing 'banking services' will be
required to apply for and obtain authorisation to operate as third
country branches in each relevant EU member state where they
provide these services, unless an exemption applies. NatWest Group
continues to evaluate its EU operating model, making adaptations as
necessary. Changes to, or uncertainty regarding NatWest Group's EU
operating model have been, and may continue to be, costly and may:
(i) adversely affect customers and counterparties who are dependent
on trading with the EU or personnel from the EU; and/or (ii) result
in regulatory sanction and/or further costs due to a failure to
receive the required regulatory permissions and/or further changes
to NatWest Group's business operations, product offering, customer
engagement, and regulatory requirements.
Each of these risks, and others identified in this section entitled
'Principal Risks and Uncertainties', individually or collectively
could jeopardise the implementation and delivery of NatWest Group's
strategy, and adversely affect NatWest Group's products and
services offering, its reputation with customers or business model,
and its ability to meet its targets, guidance, and
forecasts.
Any of the above may have a material adverse effect on NatWest
Group's future results, financial condition, prospects, and/or
reputation.
Acquisitions, divestments, or other transactions by NatWest Group
may not be successful.
NatWest Group may decide to undertake acquisitions, investments,
the purchase of assets and liabilities, divestments,
restructurings, reorganisations, joint ventures and other strategic
partnerships, as well as other transactions and initiatives. In
doing so, NatWest Group may have to compete with other financial
institutions or entities offering financial services products
(including those that emerge from mergers and consolidations, as
well as retail and technology conglomerates). These competitors may
have more bargaining power in negotiations than NatWest Group, and
therefore may be in a position to extract more advantageous terms
than NatWest Group. Refer to 'NatWest Group operates in markets
that are highly competitive, with evolving competitive pressures
and technology disruption'.
NatWest Group may pursue these transactions and initiatives to,
amongst others: (i) increase scale and/or enhance capabilities that
may lead to better productivity or cost efficiencies; (ii) acquire
talent; (iii) pursue new products or expand existing products;
and/or (iv) enter new markets or enhance its presence in existing
markets. In pursuing its strategy, NatWest Group may not fully
realise the expected benefits and value from the above-mentioned
transactions and initiatives in the time, or to the degree,
anticipated, or at all.
In particular, NatWest Group may: (i) fail to realise the business
rationale for the transaction or initiative, or rely on assumptions
underlying the business plans supporting the valuation of a target
transaction or initiative that may prove inaccurate (for example,
regarding synergies and expected commercial demand); (ii) fail to
successfully integrate any acquired businesses, investment,
joint-venture or assets (including in respect of technologies,
existing strategies, products, governance, systems and controls,
and human capital) or to successfully divest or restructure a
business; (iii) fail to retain key employees, customers and
suppliers of any acquired or restructured business; (iv) be
required or wish to terminate pre-existing contractual
relationships, which could prove costly and/or be executed on
unfavourable terms and conditions; (v) fail to conduct adequate due
diligence or fail to discover certain contingent or undisclosed
liabilities in businesses that it acquires; and (vi) not obtain
necessary regulatory and other approvals or onerous conditions may
be attached to such approvals. Accordingly, NatWest Group may not
be successful in achieving its strategy and any particular
transaction may not succeed, may be limited in scope or scale and
may not conclude on the terms contemplated, or at all.
Any of the above may have a material adverse effect on NatWest
Group's future results, financial condition, prospects, and/or
reputation.
NatWest Group operates in markets that are highly competitive, with
evolving competitive pressures and technology
disruption.
NatWest Group faces increasing competitive pressures and technology
disruption from incumbent traditional UK banks, challenger banks
and building societies (including those formed through mergers),
fintech companies (including companies offering buy-now-pay-later
and payment platforms), large technology conglomerates and new
market entrants leveraging technology and/or other advantages to
compete for customer engagement. "BigTech" companies pose a threat
to incumbent banking providers because of their customer innovation
and global reach. In addition, digital-first banks (often referred
to as "neobanks") and fintechs are aiming to compete to serve
customers that increasingly use a constellation of providers to
support their complex and evolving needs (e.g., personal financial
management, buy now and pay later, and paying for goods and
services in foreign currency).
Competition is expected to continue and intensify due to: evolving
customer behaviour, technological changes (including digital
currencies, stablecoins and the growth of digital banking),
competitor behaviour, new market entrants, competitive foreign
exchange offerings, industry trends resulting in increased
disaggregation or unbundling of financial services or, conversely,
the re-intermediation of traditional banking services, and the
impact of regulatory actions, among others. In particular, NatWest
Group may be unable to grow or retain market share due to new (or
more competitive) banking, lending and payment offerings by rapidly
evolving incumbents and challengers (including shadow banks,
alternative or direct lenders and new entrants).
Regulatory and competition policy interventions such as the UK
initiative on Open Banking, 'Open Finance' and remedies imposed by
the Competition and Markets Authority ('CMA') are accelerating
these trends. These competitive pressures may result in a shift in
customer behaviour and impact NatWest Group's revenues and
profitability, particularly in its key UK retail and Commercial
& Institutional banking segments. Moreover, innovations in
biometrics, artificial intelligence, automation, cloud services,
blockchain, cryptocurrencies and quantum computing may rapidly
facilitate industry transformation.
Increasingly, many of NatWest Group's products and services are,
and will become, more technology intensive, including through
digitalisation, automation, and the use of artificial intelligence
while needing to continue complying with applicable and evolving
regulations. NatWest Group's ability to develop or acquire digital
solutions and their integration into NatWest Group's structures,
systems and controls has become increasingly important for
retaining and growing NatWest Group's market share and
customer-facing businesses. NatWest Group's innovation strategy,
which includes investing in its IT capability to address increasing
customer and merchant use of online and mobile banking technology,
as well as selective acquisitions (such as fintech ventures,
including Rooster Money and Boxed), may not be successful or may
not result in NatWest Group offering innovative products and
services in the future.
Furthermore, competitors may outperform NatWest Group in deploying
technologies to deliver products or services to customers, which
may adversely affect NatWest Group's competitive position. In
addition, continued industry consolidation and/or technological
developments could result in the emergence of new competitors or
strengthening NatWest Group's current competitors, including in
their ability to offer a broader, more attractive and/or better
value range of products and services and geographic diversity. For
example, new market entrants, including non-traditional financial
services providers, such as retail or technology conglomerates, may
benefit from scale, technology and customer engagement advantages
and may be able to deliver financial services at a lower cost
base.
Failure to offer competitive, attractive, innovative, and
profitable products that are also released in a timely manner; may
result in lost market share, losses on some or all of NatWest
Group's initiatives and missed growth opportunities. For example,
NatWest Group is investing in the automation of certain solutions
and interactions within its customer-facing businesses, including
through artificial intelligence. There can be no certainty that
such initiatives will allow NatWest Group to compete effectively or
will deliver the expected cost savings. In addition, the
implementation of NatWest Group's strategy, delivery on its climate
ambition and cost-controlling measures, may also have an adverse
effect on competitiveness and returns. Moreover, activist investors
engagement and increased intervention may challenge NatWest Group's
strategic initiatives.
NatWest Group may also fail to identify opportunities or derive
benefits from technological innovation, shifting customer behaviour
or regulatory changes. Competitors may better attract and retain
customers and key employees, operate more effective IT systems,
have access to lower cost funding and/or be able to attract
deposits on more favourable terms than NatWest Group. Although
NatWest Group invests in new technologies and participates in
industry and research-led technology development initiatives, such
investments may be insufficient or ineffective, especially given
NatWest Group's focus on business simplification and cost
efficiencies. This could affect NatWest Group's ability to offer
innovative products or technologies to customers.
Any of the above may have a material adverse effect on NatWest
Group's future results, financial condition, prospects, and/or
reputation.
The transfer of NatWest Group's EU corporate portfolio involves
certain risks.
To improve efficiencies and best serve customers, certain assets,
liabilities, transactions and activities of NatWest Group
(including its Western European corporate portfolio principally
consisting of term funding and revolving credit facilities), have
been or may be: (i) transferred from the ring-fenced subgroup of
NatWest Group to NWM Group and/or (ii) transferred to the
ring-fenced subgroup of NatWest Group from NWM Group, subject to
customer and regulatory requirements, such as CRD VI. The timing,
success and quantum of any of these transfers remain uncertain as
is the impact of these transactions on its results of
operations.
If such transfers are unable to be implemented in response to
triggering events, such as changes in the regulatory environment,
it may result in reputational damage.
Any of the above may have a material adverse effect on NatWest
Group's future results, financial condition, prospects, and/or
reputation.
Financial resilience risk
NatWest Group may not achieve its ambitions or targets, meet its
guidance, or be in a position to continue to make discretionary
capital distributions (including dividends to
shareholders).
NatWest Group has set a number of financial, capital and
operational targets and provided guidance including in respect of
its: CET1 ratio target, return on tangible equity (RoTE), total
income, other operating expenses, loan impairment rate, capital
generation pre-distributions, customer assets and liabilities
growth rate, cost-income ratio, RWAs, ordinary dividends, funding
plans and requirements, employee engagement, diversity and
inclusion as well as climate-related targets (including its climate
and transition finance targets) and customer satisfaction targets
and discretionary capital distributions. Refer to 'The
implementation and execution of NatWest Group's strategy carries
execution and operational risks and it may not achieve its stated
aims and targeted outcomes.'
NatWest Group's ability to meet its ambitions, targets, guidance,
and make discretionary capital distributions is subject to various
internal and external factors, risks and
uncertainties.
These include but are not limited to: UK and global macroeconomic,
political, market and regulatory uncertainties, customer behaviour,
operational risks and risks relating to NatWest Group's business
model and strategy (including risks associated with climate and
other sustainability-related issues), competitive pressures, and
litigation, governmental actions, investigations and regulatory
matters. If assumptions, judgements and estimates (for example
about future economic conditions) prove to be incorrect, NatWest
Group may not achieve any or all of its ambitions or targets, or
meet its guidance.
In addition, as NatWest Group plc is a non-operating holding
company, its source of income is from its operating subsidiaries
that hold the principal assets and operations of NatWest Group and
its ability to continue to make capital distributions (including
dividends to shareholders) is therefore subject to such
subsidiaries' financial performance, and their respective ability
to make capital distributions directly or indirectly to NatWest
Group plc which, in certain cases, could also be restricted by
applicable laws, regulations and other requirements. Refer to
'NatWest Group, its customers and its counterparties face continued
economic and political risks and uncertainties in the UK and global
markets, including as a result of inflation and interest rates,
supply chain disruption, protectionist policies, and geopolitical
developments.'
Any failure of NatWest Group to achieve ambitions or targets, meet
its guidance, or make discretionary capital distributions may have
a material adverse effect on NatWest Group's future results,
financial condition, prospects, and/or reputation.
NatWest Group has significant exposure to counterparty and borrower
risk including credit losses, which may have an adverse effect on
NatWest Group.
NatWest Group has exposure to many different sectors, customers and
counterparties, and risks arising from actual or perceived changes
in credit quality and the recoverability of monies due from
borrowers and other counterparties are inherent in a wide range of
NatWest Group's businesses. These risks may increase where a
significant proportion of NatWest Group's business activities
relate to a single counterparty, a related and/or connected group
of counterparties or a similar type of customer, product, sector or
geography. NatWest Group's lending strategy and associated
processes and systems may fail to identify, anticipate or quickly
react to weaknesses or risks (including material cybersecurity
vulnerabilities) in a particular sector, market, borrower or
counterparty. NatWest Group may also fail to assess its credit risk
appetite relative to competitors, or fail to appropriately value
physical or financial collateral. This may result in increased
default rates or a higher loss given default for loans, which may,
impact NatWest Group's profitability. Refer to 'Risk and capital
management - Credit Risk'.
The credit quality of NatWest Group's borrowers and other
counterparties may be affected by UK and global macroeconomic and
political uncertainties, as well as prevailing economic and market
conditions. For example, as the level of household indebtedness (on
a per capita basis) in the UK remains high, the ability of
households and businesses to service their debts could be worsened
by a period of high unemployment, or high interest rates or
inflation, particularly if prolonged.
Refer to 'NatWest Group, its customers and its counterparties face
continued economic and political risks and uncertainties in the UK
and global markets, including as a result of inflation and interest
rates, supply chain disruption, protectionist policies, and
geopolitical developments'. Any further deterioration in
these conditions or changes to legal or regulatory landscapes could
worsen borrower and counterparty credit quality or impact the
enforcement of contractual rights, increasing credit risk. Any
increase in drawings upon committed credit facilities may also
increase NatWest Group's RWAs. NatWest Group may be affected by
volatility in property prices (including as a result of political
or economic conditions) given that NatWest Group's mortgage loan
portfolio as at 31 December 2025 amounted to
£215.2 billion,
representing 50.0% of NatWest Group's total
loan exposure. If property prices were to weaken this could lead to
higher impairment charges, particularly if default rates also
increase. In addition, NatWest Group's credit risk may be
exacerbated if the collateral that it holds cannot be realised as a
result of market conditions, regulatory intervention, or other
applicable laws, or if it is liquidated at prices not sufficient to
recover the net amount outstanding to NatWest Group after
accounting for any IFRS 9 provisions already made. This is most
likely to occur during periods of illiquidity or depressed asset
valuations.
NatWest Group is exposed to the financial sector, including
sovereign debt securities, financial institutions, financial
intermediation providers (including providing facilities to
financial sponsors and funds, backed by assets or investor
commitments) and securitised products (typically senior lending to
special purpose vehicles backed by pools of segregated financial
assets).
Concerns about, or a default by, a financial institution or
intermediary could lead to significant liquidity problems and
losses or defaults by other financial institutions or
intermediaries, since the commercial and financial soundness of
many financial institutions and intermediaries is closely related
and interdependent as a result of credit, trading, clearing and
other relationships. Any perceived lack of creditworthiness of a
counterparty or borrower may lead to market-wide liquidity problems
and losses for NatWest Group. In addition, the value of collateral
may be correlated with the probability of default by the relevant
counterparty ('wrong way risk'), which would increase NatWest
Group's potential loss. Any of the above risks may also adversely
affect financial intermediaries, such as clearing agencies,
clearing houses, banks, securities firms and exchanges with which
NatWest Group interacts on a regular basis. Refer to 'NatWest Group
may not meet the prudential regulatory requirements for liquidity
and funding or may not be able to adequately access sources of
liquidity and funding, which could trigger the execution of certain
management actions or recovery options.'
As a result, adverse changes in borrower and counterparty credit
risk may cause additional impairment charges under IFRS 9,
increased repurchase demands, higher costs, additional write-downs
and losses for NatWest Group and an inability to engage in routine
funding transactions. If NatWest Group experiences losses and a
reduction in profitability, this is likely to affect the
recoverable value of fixed assets, including goodwill and deferred
taxes, which may lead to write-downs.
NatWest Group has applied an internal analysis of multiple economic
scenarios (MES) together with the determination of specific overlay
adjustments to inform its IFRS 9 ECL (Expected Credit Loss). The
recognition and measurement of ECL is complex and involves the use
of significant judgement and estimation. This includes the
formulation and incorporation of multiple forward-looking economic
scenarios into ECL to meet the measurement objective of IFRS 9. The
ECL provision is sensitive to the model inputs and economic
assumptions underlying the estimate. Refer to 'Risk and capital
management - Credit Risk'. A credit deterioration would also lead
to RWA increases. Furthermore, the assumptions and judgements used
in the MES and ECL assessment at 31 December 2025 may not prove to
be adequate resulting in incremental ECL provisions for NatWest
Group.
As NatWest Group has exposure to the financial industry, it also
has exposure to shadow banking entities (i.e. entities which carry
out activities of a similar nature to banks but without the same
regulatory oversight). As a result, NatWest Group is required to
identify and monitor its exposure to shadow banking entities,
implement and maintain an internal framework for the
identification, management, control and mitigation of the risks
associated with exposure to shadow banking entities, and ensure
effective reporting and governance regarding this. If NatWest Group
is unable to properly identify and monitor its shadow banking
exposure, maintain an adequate framework, and/or ensure effective
reporting and governance regarding it, this may adversely affect
NatWest Group.
In line with certain mandated COVID-19 pandemic support schemes,
NatWest Group assisted customers with a number of initiatives
including NatWest Group's participation in the Bounce Back Loan
Scheme ('BBLS') products. NatWest Group sought to manage the risks
of fraud and money laundering against the need for the fast and
efficient release of funds to customers and businesses. NatWest
Group may be exposed to fraud, conduct and litigation risks arising
from inappropriate approval (or denial) of BBLS, or the enforcing
or pursuing repayment thereof (or a failure to exercise
forbearance), which may have an adverse effect on NatWest Group's
reputation and results of operations. The implementation of the
initiatives and efforts mentioned above may result in litigation,
regulatory and government actions and proceedings. These actions
may result in judgements, settlements, penalties, fines, or removal
of recourse to the government guarantee provided under those
schemes for impacted loans.
Any of the above may have a material adverse effect on NatWest
Group's future results, financial condition, prospects, and/or
reputation.
NatWest Group may not meet the prudential regulatory requirements
for liquidity and funding or may not be able to adequately access
sources of liquidity and funding, which could trigger the execution
of certain management actions or recovery options.
Liquidity and the ability to raise funds continues to be a key area
of focus for NatWest Group and the industry as a
whole.
NatWest Group is required by regulators in the UK, the EU and other
jurisdictions in which it undertakes regulated activities to
maintain adequate liquidity and funding resources. To satisfy its
liquidity and funding requirements, NatWest Group may therefore
access sources of liquidity and funding through retail and
wholesale deposits, as well as through the debt capital
markets.
As at 31 December 2025, NatWest Group plc subsidiaries held
£487.1 billion in deposits from banks
and customers. The level of deposits of NatWest Group may fluctuate
due to factors outside of its control, such as a loss of customers,
loss of customer and/or investor confidence (including in
individual NatWest Group entities or as a result of volatility in
the financial industry), changes in customer behaviour, changes in
interest rates, government support, increasing competitive
pressures for retail and corporate customer deposits
(including from new entrants or fintech
companies (including deposit aggregators)), new deposit offerings
(such as digital assets), or the reduction or cessation of
deposits by wholesale depositors, which could result in a
significant outflow of deposits within a short period of time. An
inability to grow or any material decrease in NatWest Group's
deposits could, particularly if accompanied by one or more of the
other factors mentioned above, adversely affect NatWest Group's
ability to satisfy its liquidity or funding needs, or comply with
its related regulatory requirements. In turn, this could require
NatWest Group to adapt its funding plans or change its
operations.
Macroeconomic developments, political uncertainty, changes in
interest rates, market volatility, and other stress events could
affect NatWest Group's ability to access sources of liquidity and
funding (including in foreign currencies) on satisfactory terms, or
at all. This may result in higher funding costs and failure to
comply with regulatory capital, funding and leverage requirements.
As a result, NatWest Group and its subsidiaries could be required
to change their funding plans. This could exacerbate funding and
liquidity risk, which may adversely affect NatWest
Group.
As at 31 December 2025, NatWest Group plc's average liquidity
coverage ratio was 147% for the preceding 12 months and its average
net stable funding ratio was 135%. If its liquidity position
and/or funding were to come under stress, and if NatWest Group were
unable to raise funds through deposits, in the debt capital markets
or through other reliable funding sources, on acceptable terms, or
at all, its liquidity position would likely be adversely affected
and it might be unable to meet deposit withdrawals on demand or at
their contractual maturity, repay borrowings as they mature, meet
its obligations under committed financing facilities, comply with
regulatory funding requirements, undertake certain capital and/or
debt management activities, and/or fund new loans, investments and
businesses or make capital distributions to its
shareholders.
If, under a stress scenario, the level of liquidity falls outside
of NatWest Group's risk appetite, there are a range of recovery
management actions that NatWest Group could take to manage its
liquidity levels, but any such actions may not be sufficient to
restore adequate liquidity levels and the related implementation
may have adverse consequences for NatWest Group's
operations.
Under the Prudential Regulation Authority (PRA) Rulebook, NatWest
Group must maintain a recovery plan acceptable to its regulator,
such that a breach of NatWest Group's applicable liquidity
requirements may trigger the application of NatWest Group's
recovery plan to attempt to remediate a deficient liquidity
position. NatWest Group may need to liquidate assets to meet its
liabilities, including disposals of assets not previously
identified for disposal to reduce its funding commitments or
trigger the execution of certain management actions or recovery
options. In a time of reduced market liquidity, NatWest Group may
be unable to sell its assets at attractive prices, or at all, which
may adversely affect NatWest Group's liquidity.
Any of the above may have a material adverse effect on NatWest
Group's future results, financial condition, prospects, and/or
reputation.
NatWest Group may not meet the prudential regulatory requirements
for regulatory capital and MREL, or manage its capital effectively,
which could trigger the execution of certain management actions or
recovery options.
NatWest Group is required by regulators in the UK, the EU and other
jurisdictions in which it undertakes regulated activities to
maintain adequate financial resources. Adequate levels of capital
provide NatWest Group with financial flexibility specifically in
its core UK operations in the face of turbulence and uncertainty in
the UK and the global economy. Adequate levels of capital also
enable NatWest Group plc to make discretionary capital
distributions (including dividends to shareholders), undertake
buybacks of its shares, and remain a viable, competitive and
profitable business.
As at 31 December 2025, NatWest Group plc's CET1 ratio was 14.0%
and is targeting a CET1 ratio of around 13.0%. NatWest Group plc's target
CET1 ratio is based on a combination of its views on the
appropriate level of capital and its actual and expected regulatory
requirements and internal modelling, including stress scenarios and
management's and/or the PRA's views on appropriate buffers above
minimum required operating levels. NatWest Group plc's current
capital strategy is based on the expected accumulation of
additional capital through the accrual of retained earnings over
time, planned capital actions (including issuances, redemptions,
and discretionary capital distributions), RWA growth in the form of
regulatory uplifts and lending growth and other capital management
initiatives which focus on improving capital efficiency and
ensuring NatWest Group meets its medium-to-long term targets.
NatWest Group intends to make capital distributions in surplus to
its publicly stated CET1 ratio target of 13.0% to its equity investors,
subject to macroeconomic conditions and regulatory approval, via a
combination of dividends and buybacks. In making dividends
distribution and buyback decisions, consideration is given to
previously guided ordinary dividend pay-out ratios, and maximising
shareholder value.
A number of factors may impact NatWest Group plc's ability to
maintain its CET1 ratio target and achieve its capital strategy.
These include:
−
a
depletion of its capital resources through increased costs or
liabilities or reduced profits (for example, due to an increase in
provisions due to a deterioration in UK or global economic
conditions);
−
an
increase in the quantum of RWAs/leverage exposure in excess of that
expected, including due to regulatory changes (including their
interpretation or application), or a failure in internal controls
or procedures to accurately measure and report RWAs/leverage
exposure;
−
changes
in prudential regulatory requirements including NatWest Group plc's
total capital requirement/leverage requirement set by the PRA,
including Pillar 2 requirements, as applicable, and regulatory
buffers as well as any applicable scalars;
−
reduced
upstreaming of dividends from NatWest Group plc's subsidiaries
because of changes in their financial performance and/or the extent
to which entity-specific capital requirements exceed NatWest Group
plc's CET1 ratio target; and
−
limitations
on the use of double leverage (i.e., NatWest Group plc's use of
debt to invest in the equity of its subsidiaries, as a result of
the BoE's and/or NatWest Group's evolving views on distribution of
capital within groups).
A shortage or reduction of capital could in turn affect NatWest
Group plc's capital ratio, and/or its ability to make capital
distributions and in turn NatWest Group may not remain a viable,
competitive or profitable banking business.
A minimum level of capital is required to be met by NatWest Group
plc for it to be entitled to make certain discretionary payments,
and institutions such as NatWest Group plc which fail to meet the
regulatory combined buffer requirement are subject to restricted
discretionary payments. The resulting restrictions are scaled
according to the extent of the breach of the combined buffer
requirement and calculated as a percentage of the profits of the
institution since the last distribution of profits or discretionary
payment which gives rise to a maximum distributable amount (MDA)
(if any) that the financial institution can distribute through
discretionary payments. Any breach of the combined buffer
requirement may necessitate NatWest Group plc reducing or ceasing
discretionary payments to shareholders (including payments of
dividends) and buybacks depending on the extent of the
breach.
NatWest Group plc is required to meet an external MREL equivalent
to the higher of: (i) two times the sum of Pillar 1 and Pillar 2A,
or (ii) if subject to a leverage ratio requirement, two times the
applicable requirement. The BoE has identified a "single
point-of-entry" at NatWest Group plc, as the preferred resolution
strategy for NatWest Group. As a result, NatWest Group plc is the
only entity within NatWest Group that can externally issue
securities that count towards its MREL requirements, the proceeds
of which can then be downstreamed to meet the internal MREL of its
operating entities and intermediate holding companies.
If NatWest Group plc is unable to raise or retain the requisite
amount of regulatory capital or MREL, downstream the proceeds of
MREL to subsidiaries as required, or to otherwise meet its
regulatory capital, MREL and leverage requirements, it may be
exposed to increased regulatory supervision or sanctions, loss of
customer and/or investor confidence, constrained or more expensive
funding and be unable to make discretionary payments on capital
instruments.
If, under a stress scenario, the level of regulatory capital or
MREL falls outside of NatWest Group's risk appetite, there are a
range of recovery management actions (focused on risk reduction and
mitigation) that NatWest Group could seek to take to manage its
capital levels, but any such actions may not be sufficient to
restore adequate capital levels. Under the PRA Rulebook, NatWest
Group must maintain a recovery plan acceptable to its regulator,
such that a breach of NatWest Group's applicable capital or
leverage requirements may trigger the application of NatWest
Group's recovery plan to remediate a deficient capital position.
Further, NatWest Group's regulator may request that NatWest Group
carry out certain capital management actions or, if NatWest Group
plc's CET1 ratio falls below 7%, certain regulatory capital
instruments issued by NatWest Group plc will be written-down or
converted into equity, and there may be an issue of additional
equity by NatWest Group plc, which could result in the reduction in
value of the holdings of NatWest Group plc's existing shareholders.
The success of such issuances will also be dependent on favourable
market conditions and NatWest Group may not be able to raise the
amount of capital required on acceptable terms, or at
all.
Separately, NatWest Group may address a shortage of capital by
taking action to reduce leverage exposure and/or RWAs via asset or
business disposals. These actions may, in turn, affect: NatWest
Group's product offering, credit ratings, ability to operate its
businesses, pursue its strategy and strategic opportunities, any of
which may adversely affect NatWest Group. Refer to 'NatWest Group
may become subject to the application of UK statutory stabilisation
or resolution powers which may result in, for example, the
cancellation, transfer or dilution of ordinary shares, or the
write-down or conversion of certain other of NatWest Group's
securities.'; and 'NatWest Group could be adversely affected if it
fails to meet the requirements of regulatory stress tests, or if
NatWest Group's resolution preparations are deemed
inadequate.'
Any of the above may have a material adverse effect on NatWest
Group's future results, financial condition, prospects, and/or
reputation.
Any reduction in the credit rating and/or outlooks assigned to
NatWest Group plc, any of its subsidiaries or any of their
respective debt securities could adversely affect the availability
of funding for NatWest Group, reduce NatWest Group's liquidity and
funding position and increase the cost of funding.
Rating agencies regularly review NatWest Group plc and other
NatWest Group entities' credit ratings and outlooks.
NatWest Group entities' credit ratings and outlooks could be
negatively affected (directly and indirectly) by a number of
factors that can change over time, including, without limitation:
credit rating agencies' assessment of NatWest Group's strategy and
management's capability; its financial condition including in
respect of profitability, asset quality, capital, funding and
liquidity, and risk management practices; the level of political
support for the sectors and regions in which NatWest Group
operates; the legal and regulatory frameworks applicable to NatWest
Group's legal structure; business activities and the rights of its
creditors; changes in rating methodologies; changes in the relative
size of the loss-absorbing buffers protecting bondholders and
depositors; the competitive environment; political, geopolitical
and economic conditions in NatWest Group's key markets (including
inflation and interest rates, supply chain disruption,
protectionist policies and geopolitical developments); and/or any
reduction of the UK's sovereign credit rating and market
uncertainty. In addition, credit rating agencies take into
consideration sustainability-related factors, including climate,
environmental, social and governance related risk, as part of their
credit rating analysis (as do investors in their investment
decisions).
Any reductions in the credit ratings of NatWest Group plc or of
certain other NatWest Group entities could have adverse
consequences including, without limitation, (i) reduced access to
capital markets; (ii) a reduction in deposit base; and (iii)
triggering additional collateral or other requirements in its
funding arrangements or the need to amend such arrangements. Any of
these consequences could adversely affect NatWest Group's liquidity
and funding position, cost of funding and could limit the range of
counterparties willing to enter into transactions with NatWest
Group on favourable terms, or at all. This may in turn adversely
affect NatWest Group's competitive position and threaten its
prospects.
Any of the above may have a material adverse effect on NatWest
Group's future results, financial condition, prospects, and/or
reputation.
NatWest Group could incur losses or be required to maintain higher
levels of capital as a result of limitations or failure of various
models.
Given the complexity of NatWest Group's business, strategy and
capital requirements, NatWest Group relies on models for a wide
range of purposes, including to manage its business, assess the
value of its assets and its risk exposure, as well as to anticipate
capital and funding requirements (including to facilitate NatWest
Group's mandated stress testing). In addition, NatWest Group
utilises models for valuations, credit approvals, calculation of
loan impairment charges on an IFRS 9 basis, financial reporting and
to help address criminal activities in the form of money
laundering, terrorist financing, bribery and corruption, tax
evasion and sanctions as well as external or internal fraud
(collectively, 'financial crime').
NatWest Group's models, and the parameters and assumptions on which
they are based, are periodically reviewed.
Model outputs are inherently uncertain, because they are imperfect
representations of real-world phenomena, are simplifications of
complex real-world systems and processes, and are based on a
limited set of observations. NatWest Group also continues to invest
in building new capabilities that employ new artificial
intelligence technologies, such as generative artificial
intelligence, and it expects its use of these technologies to
increase over time. However, there are significant risks involved
in utilising more sophisticated modelling approaches, including
artificial intelligence, and no assurance can be provided that
NatWest Group's use of artificial intelligence in its models will
enhance its business or produce only intended or beneficial
results. NatWest Group may face adverse consequences as a result of
actions or decisions based on models that are poorly developed,
incorrectly implemented, non-compliant, outdated or used
inappropriately. This includes models that are based on inaccurate
or non-representative data (for example, where there have been
changes in the micro or macroeconomic environment in which NatWest
Group operates) or as a result of the modelled outcome being
misunderstood, or used for purposes for which it was not designed.
This could result in findings of deficiencies by NatWest Group's
regulators (including as part of NatWest Group's mandated stress
testing), increased capital requirements, rendering some business
lines uneconomical, requiring management action or subjecting
NatWest Group to regulatory sanction, any of which in turn may also
have an adverse effect on NatWest Group and its
customers.
Any of the above may have a material adverse effect on NatWest
Group's future results, financial condition, prospects, and/or
reputation.
NatWest Group's financial statements are sensitive to underlying
accounting policies, judgements, estimates and
assumptions.
The preparation of financial statements requires management to make
judgements, estimates and assumptions that affect the reported
amounts of assets, liabilities, income, expenses, exposures and
RWAs. While estimates, judgements and assumptions take into account
historical experience and other factors (including market practice
and expectations of future events that are believed to be
reasonable under the circumstances), actual results may differ due
to the inherent uncertainty in making estimates, judgements and
assumptions (particularly those involving the use of complex
models).
Further, accounting policy and financial statement reporting
requirements increasingly require management to adjust existing
judgements, estimates and assumptions for the effects of
climate-related, sustainability and other matters that are
inherently uncertain and for which there is little historical
experience which may affect the comparability of NatWest Group's
future financial results with its historical results. Actual
results may differ due to the inherent uncertainty in making
climate-related and sustainability estimates, judgements and
assumptions.
Refer to 'There are significant limitations related to accessing
accurate, reliable, verifiable, auditable, consistent and
comparable climate and sustainability-related data that contributes
to substantial uncertainties in accurately assessing, managing and
reporting on climate and sustainability-related information and
risks, as well as making informed decisions.'.
Accounting policies deemed critical to NatWest Group's results and
financial position, based upon materiality and significant
judgements and estimates, involve a high degree of uncertainty and
may have a material impact on its results. For 2025, these include
loan impairments, fair value, and deferred tax. These are set out
in 'Critical accounting policies and sources of estimation
uncertainty'.
Any of the above may have a material adverse effect on NatWest
Group's future results, financial condition, prospects, and/or
reputation.
Changes in accounting standards may materially impact NatWest
Group's financial results.
NatWest Group prepares its consolidated financial statements in
conformity with the requirements of the Companies Act 2006 and in
accordance with UK-adopted IAS, and IFRS as issued by the
International Accounting Standards Board. Changes in accounting
standards or guidance by accounting bodies and/or changes in
accounting standards requirements by regulatory bodies or in the
timing of their implementation, whether immediate or foreseeable,
could result in NatWest Group having to recognise additional
liabilities on its balance sheet, or in further write-downs or
impairments to its assets and could also have a material adverse
effect on NatWest Group.
Additionally, auditors may have different interpretations of these
accounting standards, and any change of auditor may lead to
unfavourable changes in NatWest Group's accounting policies. From
time to time, the International Accounting Standards Board may also
issue new accounting standards or interpretations that could
materially impact how NatWest Group calculates, reports and
discloses its financial results and financial condition, and which
may affect NatWest Group's capital ratios, including the CET1 ratio
and the required levels of regulatory capital. New accounting
standards and interpretations that have been issued by the
International Accounting Standards Board but which have not yet
been adopted by NatWest Group are discussed in 'Future accounting
developments'.
Any of the above may have a material adverse effect on NatWest
Group's future results, financial condition, prospects, and/or
reputation.
The value or effectiveness of any credit protection that NatWest
Group has acquired depends on the value of the underlying assets
and the financial condition of the insurers and
counterparties.
The value or effectiveness of any credit protection that NatWest
Group has acquired, including credit default swaps (CDSs),
significant risk transfer (SRT) transactions, credit risk insurance
(CRI), and financial guarantees (FG) depends on the value of the
underlying assets and the financial condition of the insurers,
counterparties and protection providers, and prevailing market
spreads. Although extensive assessments are undertaken prior to
execution, there can be no assurance that such protection will
remain effective or enforceable, and any failure could adversely
impact NatWest Group's risk profile, capital position and
reputation.
For CDS, changes in credit spreads, deterioration in counterparty
creditworthiness, the outcome of determination committees, or
disputes over contractual terms may result in valuation
adjustments, impairments or increased collateral requirements,
creating potential liquidity pressures. For SRT transactions, the
anticipated capital relief is subject to ongoing regulatory
recognition and the performance of the securitised portfolio. Any
deterioration in asset quality, structural breaches, operational
errors or changes in regulatory interpretation could reduce or
eliminate the expected benefit. These transactions also introduce
counterparty and model risk. For CRI, the enforceability of
policies and the financial strength of insurers are critical.
Disputes over coverage, policy exclusions, delays in claims
settlement or insurer default could result in losses not being
mitigated as intended. Concentration risk may arise where
protection is sourced from a limited number of insurers, increasing
vulnerability to sector-wide stress. As with other forms of credit
protection, fluctuations in fair value or deterioration in the
financial condition or perceived creditworthiness of counterparties
and insurers may lead to additional valuation adjustments or
impairments. Any such developments or fair value changes may have a
material adverse effect on NatWest Group.
Any of the above may have an adverse effect on NatWest Group's
future results, financial condition, prospects, and/or
reputation.
NatWest Group could be adversely affected if it fails to meet the
requirements of regulatory stress tests, or if NatWest Group's
resolution preparations are deemed inadequate.
NatWest Group entities are subject to annual and other stress tests
by their respective regulators in the UK and EU.
Stress tests are designed to assess the resilience of banks such as
NatWest Group to potential adverse economic or financial
developments and ensure that they have robust, forward-looking
capital planning processes that account for the risks associated
with their business profile. If the stress tests reveal that a
bank's existing regulatory capital buffers are not sufficient to
absorb the impact of the stress, then it is possible that NatWest
Group may need to take action to strengthen its capital position.
Failure by NatWest Group to meet the quantitative and qualitative
requirements of the stress tests as set forth by its UK regulator
may result in: NatWest Group's regulators requiring NatWest Group
to generate additional capital, reputational damage, increased
supervision and/or regulatory sanctions, restrictions on capital
distributions and loss of investor confidence, all of which may
adversely affect NatWest Group.
NatWest Group is also subject to regulatory oversight by the BoE
and the PRA and is required under the PRA Rulebook to carry out an
assessment of its preparations for resolution, submit a report of
the assessment to the PRA, and disclose a summary of this report.
In August 2024, the BoE communicated its assessment of NatWest
Group's preparations for a potential resolution scenario and did
not identify any areas for further enhancement, shortcomings,
deficiencies or substantive impediments.
NatWest Group could be adversely affected should future BoE
assessments deem NatWest Group's preparations to be inadequate. If
future BoE assessments identify any areas for further enhancement,
shortcomings, deficiencies or substantive impediments in NatWest
Group's ability to achieve the resolvability outcomes or reveal
that NatWest Group is not adequately prepared to be resolved, or
does not have adequate plans in place to meet resolvability
requirements, NatWest Group may be required to take action to
enhance its preparations to be resolvable, resulting in additional
costs and the dedication of additional resources. Such a scenario
may have an impact on NatWest Group as, depending on the BoE's
assessment, potential action may include, but is not limited to,
restrictions on NatWest Group's maximum individual and aggregate
exposures, a requirement to dispose of specified assets, a
requirement to change its legal or operational structure, a
requirement to cease carrying out certain activities, a requirement
not to make discretionary distributions or undertake share
buybacks, and/or a requirement to maintain a specified amount of
MREL. This may also impact NatWest Group's strategic
plans.
Any of the above may have a material adverse effect on NatWest
Group's future results, financial condition, prospects, and/or
reputation, or lead to a loss of investor confidence.
NatWest Group may become subject to the application of UK statutory
stabilisation or resolution powers which may result in, for
example, the cancellation, transfer or dilution of ordinary shares,
or the write-down or conversion of certain other of NatWest Group's
securities.
The BoE, the PRA, the FCA, and HM Treasury (together, the
'Authorities') are granted substantial powers to resolve and
stabilise UK-incorporated financial institutions. Five
stabilisation options exist: (i) transfer of all of the business of
a relevant entity or the shares of the relevant entity to a private
sector purchaser; (ii) transfer of all or part of the business of
the relevant entity to a 'bridge bank' wholly or partially owned by
the BoE; (iii) transfer of part of the assets, rights or
liabilities of the relevant entity to one or more asset management
vehicles for management of the transferor's assets, rights or
liabilities; (iv) the write-down, conversion, transfer,
modification, or suspension of the relevant entity's equity,
capital instruments and liabilities; and (v) temporary public
ownership of the relevant entity. These options may be applied to
NatWest Group plc as the parent company or to any subsidiary where
certain conditions are met (such as, whether the firm is failing or
likely to fail, or whether it is reasonably likely that action will
be taken (outside of resolution) that will result in the firm no
longer failing or being likely to fail). Moreover, there are
modified insolvency and administration procedures for relevant
entities within NatWest Group, and the Authorities have the power
to modify or override certain contractual arrangements in certain
circumstances and amend the law for the purpose of enabling their
powers to be used effectively and may promulgate provisions with
retrospective applicability.
Uncertainty exists as to how the Authorities may exercise their
powers including the determination of actions to be undertaken in
relation to the ordinary shares and other securities issued by
NatWest Group, which may depend on factors outside of NatWest
Group's control. Moreover, the UK Banking Act 2009 provisions
remain largely untested in practice, particularly in respect of
resolutions of large financial institutions and groups. If NatWest
Group is at or is approaching the point such that regulatory
intervention is required, any exercise of the resolution regime
powers by the Authorities may adversely affect holders of NatWest
Group plc's ordinary shares or other NatWest Group securities. This
may result in various actions being undertaken in relation to
NatWest Group and any securities of NatWest Group, including
cancellation, transfer, dilution, write-down or conversion (as
applicable). There may also be a corresponding adverse effect on
the market price of such ordinary shares and other NatWest Group
securities.
Each of these actions may also have a material adverse effect on
NatWest Group's future results, financial condition, prospects,
and/or reputation.
Operational and IT resilience risk
Operational risks (including reliance on third party suppliers and
outsourcing of certain activities) are inherent in NatWest Group's
businesses.
Operational risk is the risk of loss or disruption resulting from
inadequate or failed internal processes, procedures, people or
systems, or from external events.
NatWest Group operates in several countries, offering a diverse
range of products and services supported directly or indirectly by
third party suppliers.
As a result, operational risks or losses can arise from a number of
internal or external factors (including for example, payment errors
or financial crime and fraud), for which there is continued
scrutiny by third parties of NatWest Group's compliance with
financial crime requirements.
Operational risks also exist due to the implementation of NatWest
Group's strategy, and the organisational and operational changes
involved, including: NatWest Group's cost-controlling and
simplification measures; continued digitalisation and the
integration of artificial intelligence in the business;
acquisition, divestments and other transactions; the implementation
of recommendations from internal and external reviews with respect
to certain governance processes, policies, systems and controls of
NatWest Group entities; and conditions affecting the financial
services industry generally (including macroeconomic and other
geopolitical developments) as well as the legal and regulatory
uncertainty resulting from these conditions. Any of the above may
place significant pressure on NatWest Group's ability to maintain
effective internal controls and governance frameworks.
Financial crime continues to evolve, whether through fraud, scams,
cyberattacks or other criminal activity. These risks are
exacerbated as NatWest Group continues to innovate its product
offering and increasingly offers digital solutions to its
customers, including through mobile banking. Financial crime
assessment, systems and controls, internal stress tests and models
are critical to financial crime risk management.
Ineffective risk management may arise from a wide variety of
factors, including lack of transparency or incomplete risk
reporting, manual processes and controls, inaccurate data,
inadequate IT systems, unidentified conflicts or misaligned
incentives, lack of accountability control and governance,
incomplete risk monitoring and management, insufficient challenges
or assurance processes, or a failure to commence or timely complete
risk remediation projects. Weak or ineffective financial crime
processes and controls may risk NatWest Group inadvertently
facilitating financial crime which may result in regulatory
investigation, sanction, litigation, fines and/or reputational
damage. Further, failure to manage these risks effectively, or
within regulatory expectations, could adversely affect NatWest
Group's reputation or its relationship with its regulators,
customers, shareholders or other stakeholders. Refer to, 'NatWest
Group is exposed to the risks of various litigation matters,
regulatory and governmental actions and investigations as well as
remedial undertakings, the outcomes of which are inherently
difficult to predict, and which could have an adverse effect on
NatWest Group.' These risks are also exacerbated when NatWest Group
relies on critical service providers (suppliers) or vendors to
provide services to it or its customers, as is increasingly the
case as NatWest Group outsources certain activities, including with
respect to the implementation of technologies, innovation (such as
cloud services and artificial intelligence) and responding to
regulatory and market changes.
NatWest Group also faces operational risks as it continues to
invest in the automation of certain solutions and customer
interactions, including through artificial intelligence. Such
initiatives may result in operational, reputational and conduct
risks if the technology is not used appropriately, is defective or
inadequate, or is not fully integrated into NatWest Group's current
solutions, systems and controls. The effective management of
operational risks is critical to meeting customer service
expectations and retaining and attracting customer business.
Although NatWest Group has implemented risk controls and mitigation
actions, with resources and planning devoted to mitigate
operational risk, such measures may not be effective in controlling
each of the operational risks faced by NatWest Group.
Ineffective management of such risks may have a material adverse
effect on NatWest Group's future results, financial condition,
prospects, and/or reputation.
NatWest Group is subject to sophisticated and frequent
cyberattacks, and compliance with cybersecurity and data protection
regulations is becoming increasingly complex.
NatWest Group experiences a constant threat from cyberattacks
across the entire NatWest Group and against NatWest Group's supply
chain networks, reinforcing the importance of due diligence of,
ongoing risk management of, and a close working relationship with,
the third parties on which NatWest Group relies. NatWest Group is
reliant on technology, against which there is a constantly evolving
series of attacks that are increasing in terms of frequency,
sophistication, impact and severity. The
increased availability of malicious tools
and the rapid advancement of artificial intelligence capabilities
reduce entry barriers for malicious actors and accelerate the
exploitation of vulnerabilities leading to cyberattacks evolving and
becoming more sophisticated. As a result, NatWest Group is required to
continue to invest significant resources in additional capability
designed to defend against a variety of existing and emerging
threats.
Third parties continue to make hostile attempts to gain access to,
introduce malware (including ransomware) into, and exploit
potential vulnerabilities of, financial services institutions' IT
systems, including those of NatWest Group. For example, in 2025,
NatWest Group and its supply chain were subjected to a small number
of attempted Distributed Denial of Service and ransomware attacks.
These hostile attempts were addressed without material impact on
NatWest Group or its customers by deploying cybersecurity
capabilities and controls that seek to manage the impact of any
such attacks, and sustain availability of services for NatWest
Group's customers.
Consequently, NatWest Group continues to invest significant
resources in developing and evolving cybersecurity capabilities and
controls that are designed to mitigate the potential effect of such
attacks. However, given the nature of the threat, there can be no
assurance that these capabilities and controls will prevent the
potential adverse effect of an attack from occurring. Refer to
'NatWest Group's operations are highly dependent on its complex IT
systems and any IT failure could adversely affect NatWest
Group.'
Any failure in NatWest Group's information and cybersecurity
policies, procedures or controls, may result in significant
financial losses, major business disruption, inability to deliver
customer services, or loss of, or ability to access, data or
systems or other sensitive information (including as a result of an
outage) and may cause associated reputational damage. Any of these
factors could increase costs (including, but not limited to costs
relating to notification of, or compensation to customers, credit
monitoring or card reissuance), result in regulatory investigations
or sanctions being imposed or may affect NatWest Group's ability to
retain and attract customers. Regulators in the UK, US, Europe and
Asia recognise cybersecurity as an important systemic risk to the
financial sector and have highlighted the need for financial
institutions to improve their monitoring and control of, and
resilience (particularly of critical services) to cyberattacks, and
to provide timely reporting or notification of them, as appropriate
(including, for example, the SEC cybersecurity requirements and the
EU Digital Operational Resilience Act ('DORA')). Furthermore,
cyberattacks on NatWest Group's counterparties and suppliers may
also have an adverse effect on NatWest Group's
operations.
Additionally, malicious third parties may induce employees,
customers, third-party providers or other users with access to
NatWest Group's systems to wrongfully disclose sensitive
information to gain access to NatWest Group's data or systems or
that of NatWest Group's customers or employees. Cybersecurity and
information security events can derive from factors such as:
internal or external threat actors, human error, fraud or malice on
the part of NatWest Group's employees, customers or third parties,
including third-party providers, or may result from technological
failure (including defective, inadequate or inappropriately used
artificial intelligence based solutions).
NatWest Group expects greater regulatory engagement, supervision
and enforcement to continue in relation to its overall resilience
to withstand IT and IT-related disruption, either through a
cyberattack or some other disruptive event. Such increased
regulatory engagement, supervision and enforcement is uncertain in
relation to the scope, cost, consequence and the pace of change,
which may have a material adverse effect on NatWest Group. Due to
NatWest Group's reliance on technology, the adoption of innovative
solutions, the integration of automated processes and artificial
intelligence in its business and the increasing sophistication,
frequency and impact of cyberattacks, such attacks may have an
adverse effect on NatWest Group.
In accordance with applicable UK and EU data protection, and
cybersecurity laws and regulations, NatWest Group is required to
ensure it implements timely, appropriate and effective
organisational and technological safeguards against unauthorised or
unlawful access to the data of NatWest Group, its customers and its
employees.
In order to meet this requirement, NatWest Group relies on the
effectiveness of its internal policies, controls and procedures to
protect the confidentiality, integrity and availability of
information held on its IT systems, networks and devices as well as
with third parties with whom NatWest Group
interacts. As NatWest Group develops new
artificial intelligence-based products, proprietary, sensitive, or
confidential customer information may be inputted into third-party
generative or other artificial intelligence or machine learning
platforms, and could potentially be accessed by others, including
if such information is used to train third-party artificial
intelligence models. This may increase the risk of data leakage,
data poisoning, potential bias, discrimination, errors, and
misuse. A
failure to monitor and manage data in accordance with applicable
requirements may result in financial losses, regulatory fines,
investigations and litigation, and associated reputational
damage.
Any of the above may have a material adverse effect on NatWest
Group's future results, financial condition, prospects, and/or
reputation.
NatWest Group's operations and strategy are highly dependent on the
accuracy and effective use of data.
NatWest Group relies on the availability, sourcing, and effective
use of accurate and high quality data to support, monitor,
evaluate, manage and enhance its operations, innovate its products
offering, meet its regulatory obligations, and deliver its
strategy. Investment is being made in data tools and analytics,
including raising awareness around ethical data usage (for example,
in relation to the use of artificial intelligence) and privacy
across NatWest Group.
The availability and accessibility of current, complete, detailed,
accurate and, wherever possible, machine-readable customer segment
and sub-sector data, together with appropriate governance and
accountability for data, is fast becoming a critical strategic
asset, which is subject to increased regulatory focus.
Failure to have or to be able to access that data or the
ineffective use or governance of that data could result in a
failure to manage and report important risks and opportunities or
satisfy customers' expectations including the inability to deliver
products and services. This could also place NatWest Group at a
competitive disadvantage by increasing its costs, inhibiting its
efforts to reduce costs or its ability to improve its systems,
controls and processes. Any of the above could result in a failure
to deliver NatWest Group's strategy.
These data weaknesses and limitations, or the unethical or
inappropriate use of data, and/or non-compliance with data
protection laws could give rise to conduct and litigation risks and
may increase the risk of operational challenges, losses,
reputational damage or other adverse consequences due to
inappropriate models, systems, processes, decisions or other
actions.
Any of the above may have a material adverse effect on NatWest
Group's future results, financial condition, prospects, and/or
reputation.
NatWest Group's operations are highly dependent on its complex IT
systems and any IT failure could adversely affect NatWest
Group.
NatWest Group's operations are highly dependent on the ability to
process a very large number of transactions efficiently and
accurately while complying with applicable laws and regulations.
The proper functioning of NatWest Group's transactional and payment
systems, financial crime and fraud detection systems and controls,
risk management, credit analysis and reporting, accounting,
customer service and other IT systems, including cloud services
providers (some of which are owned and operated by other entities
in NatWest Group or third parties), as well as the communication
networks between its branches and main data processing centres, is
critical to NatWest Group's operations. NatWest Group's reliance on
a limited number of cloud services providers increases its exposure
to disruption events affecting these cloud services providers.
Individually or collectively, whether operated by NatWest Group
or by a third party supplier, any system failure (including
defective or inadequate automated processes or artificial
intelligence based solutions), loss of service availability, mobile
banking disruption, or breach of data security could potentially
cause significant damage to: (i) important business services across
NatWest Group; and (ii) NatWest Group's ability to provide services
to its customers, which could result in reputational damage,
significant compensation costs and regulatory sanctions (including
fines resulting from regulatory investigations) or a breach of
applicable regulations and could affect NatWest Group's regulatory
approvals, competitive position, business and brands, which could
undermine its ability to attract and retain customers and
talent.
NatWest Group outsources certain functions as it innovates and
offers new digital solutions to its customers to meet the demand
for online and mobile banking. Outsourcing alongside remote working
heighten the above risks.
NatWest Group uses IT systems that enable remote working interface
with third-party systems. NatWest Group could experience service
denials or disruptions if such IT systems exceed capacity or if
NatWest Group or a third-party system fails or experiences any
interruptions, all of which could result in business and customer
interruption and related reputational damage, significant
compensation costs, regulatory sanctions and/or a breach of
applicable regulations. Hybrid working arrangements for NatWest
Group employees place heavy reliance on the IT systems that enable
remote working and may place additional pressure on NatWest Group's
ability to maintain effective internal controls and governance
frameworks and increase operational risk.
In 2025, NatWest Group continued to make considerable investments
to further simplify, upgrade and improve its IT and technology
capabilities (including migration of certain services to cloud
platforms and risk-based removal of technology obsolescence).
NatWest Group continues to develop and enhance digital services for
its customers and seeks to improve its competitive position through
integrating automated processes and artificial intelligence based
solutions in its business and by enhancing controls and procedures
and strengthening the resilience of services including
cybersecurity.
Any failure of these investment and rationalisation initiatives to
achieve the expected results due to poor design or implementation,
defects or otherwise, may adversely affect NatWest Group's
operations, its reputation and ability to retain or grow its
customer business or adversely affect its competitive
position.
Any of the above may have a material adverse effect on NatWest
Group's future results, financial condition, prospects, and/or
reputation.
NatWest Group relies on attracting, retaining and developing
diverse senior management and skilled personnel, and is required to
maintain good employee relations.
NatWest Group's success depends on its ability to attract, retain,
and develop a highly skilled and qualified diverse workforce,
including senior management, and other employees in critical roles
(such as in technology, artificial intelligence and data), in a
highly competitive market.
NatWest Group's ability to attract, retain and develop highly
skilled and qualified diverse senior management and personnel may
be more difficult due to heightened regulatory oversight of banks
compared to firms outside of banking and ongoing restrictions on
employee compensation arrangements, particularly in the EU. In
addition, certain economic, market and regulatory conditions may
reduce the pool of candidates for key management and non-executive
roles, including non-executive directors with the right skills,
knowledge and experience, or may increase the number of departures
of existing employees.
Moreover, a failure to foster a diverse workforce and an inclusive
work environment may adversely affect NatWest Group's employee
engagement and the execution of its strategy and could also have an
adverse effect on its reputation with employees, customers,
investors and regulators.
NatWest Group's businesses are also exposed to risks from employee,
contractor or service providers misconduct including non-compliance
with policies and regulations, negligence or fraud (including
financial crimes and fraud), any of which could result in
regulatory fines or sanctions and serious reputational or financial
harm to NatWest Group. Hybrid working arrangements are also subject
to regulatory scrutiny to ensure adequate recording, surveillance
and supervision of regulated activities, and compliance with
regulatory requirements and expectations, including requirements
to: meet threshold conditions for regulated activities; ensure the
ability to oversee functions (including any outsourced functions);
ensure no detriment is caused to customers; and ensure no increased
risk of financial crime.
Many of NatWest Group's employees in the UK, the Republic of
Ireland and continental Europe are represented by employee
representative bodies, including trade unions and works councils.
Engagement with its employees and such bodies is important to
NatWest Group in maintaining good employee relations. Any failure
to do so may adversely affect NatWest Group's ability to operate
its business effectively.
Any of the above may have a material adverse effect on NatWest
Group's future results, financial condition, prospects, and/or
reputation.
A failure in NatWest Group's risk management framework could
adversely affect NatWest Group, including its ability to achieve
its strategic objectives.
Risk management is a fundamental component of NatWest Group's
operations and is critical to the effective delivery of its
long-term strategic objectives. The Enterprise-Wide Risk Management
Framework sets the approach for risk management and outlines key
principles for sound risk governance and setting of risk appetite
with respect to: financial risk (capital risk, liquidity and
funding risk, credit risk, traded market risk, non-traded, market
risk, pension risk, earning stability risk) and non-financial risk
(model risk, reputational risk, financial crime, operational risk,
compliance and conduct risk). Non-compliance with this framework,
including deviations from risk appetite, or any significant
shortcomings in related controls and procedures, may have a
detrimental effect on NatWest Group's financial condition,
strategic delivery, or result in inaccurate reporting of risk
exposures.
NatWest Group promotes a risk-aware culture and invests in policies
and resources to manage risks. However, these measures may not
entirely prevent a failure in NatWest Group's risk management
framework. For example, instances of misconduct may arise from:
business decisions, actions or reward mechanisms that fail to
comply with NatWest Group's regulatory obligations, do not
adequately address customers' needs, or are misaligned with NatWest
Group's strategic objectives; ineffective product management;
unethical or inappropriate use of data, information asymmetry,
implementation and utilisation of new technologies, outsourcing of
customer service and product delivery; inappropriate behaviour
towards customers, customer outcomes, the possibility of
mis-selling of financial products; and mishandling of customer
complaints.
Any failure in NatWest Group's risk management framework may result
in the inability to achieve its strategic objectives for its
customers, employees and wider stakeholders.
Any of the above may have a material adverse effect on NatWest
Group's future results, financial condition, prospects, and/or
reputation.
NatWest Group's operations are subject to inherent reputational
risk.
Reputational risk relates to stakeholder and public perceptions of
NatWest Group arising from an actual or perceived failure to meet
stakeholder or the public's expectations, including with respect to
NatWest Group's strategy and related targets or due to any events,
behaviour, action or inaction by NatWest Group, its employees or
those with whom NatWest Group is associated. Refer to 'NatWest
Group's businesses are subject to substantial regulation and
oversight, which are constantly evolving and may adversely affect
NatWest Group.' This includes harm to its brand, which may be
detrimental to NatWest Group's business, including its ability to
build or sustain business relationships with customers,
stakeholders and regulators, and may cause low employee morale,
regulatory censure or reduced access to, or an increase in the cost
of, funding. Reputational risk may arise whenever there is, or
there is perceived to be, a material lapse in standards of
integrity, controls, compliance, customer or operating efficiency,
or regulatory or press scrutiny, and may adversely affect NatWest
Group's ability to attract and retain customers.
In particular, NatWest Group's ability to attract and retain
customers (particularly, corporate/institutional and retail
depositors), and talent, and engage with counterparties may be
adversely affected by factors including: negative public opinion
resulting from the actual or perceived manner in which NatWest
Group conducts or modifies its business activities and operations,
media coverage (whether accurate or otherwise), employee
misconduct, NatWest Group's financial performance, IT systems
failures or cyberattacks, data breaches, financial crime and fraud,
or the actual or perceived practices in the banking and financial
industry in general, or a wide variety of other
factors.
Technologies, in particular online social networks and other
broadcast tools that facilitate communication with large audiences
in short timeframes and with minimal costs, may also significantly
increase and accelerate the impact of damaging information and
allegations. Although NatWest Group has a Reputational Risk Policy
and framework to identify, measure and manage material reputational
risk exposures, there is a risk that it may not be successful in
avoiding or mitigating damage to its business or its various brands
from reputational risk.
Any of the above aspects of reputational risk may have a material
adverse effect on NatWest Group's future results, financial
condition, prospects, and/or reputation.
Legal and regulatory risk
NatWest Group's businesses are subject to substantial regulation
and oversight, which are constantly evolving and may adversely
affect NatWest Group.
NatWest Group is subject to extensive laws, regulations,
guidelines, corporate governance practice and disclosure
requirements, administrative actions and policies in each
jurisdiction in which it operates, which presents ongoing
compliance and conduct risks. Many of these are constantly evolving
and are subject to further material changes, which may increase
compliance and conduct risks, particularly as the laws of different
jurisdictions (including those of the EU/EEA and UK) diverge.
NatWest Group expects government and regulatory intervention in the
financial services industry to remain high for the foreseeable
future.
Regulators and governments continue to focus on refining the
prudential regulation within the financial services industry and
enhancing the way financial services are conducted, with the dual
aim of fostering greater competition and supporting sustainable
growth. Forthcoming measures include enhanced capital, liquidity
and funding requirements, through future implementation of the
Basel 3.1 standards (and any resulting effect on RWAs and models).
This is in addition to previous measures, such as: the UK
ring-fencing regime, the strengthening of the recovery and
resolution framework applicable to financial institutions in the
UK, EU and US, financial industry reforms (such as the FSMA 2023),
corporate governance requirements, rules relating to the
compensation of senior management and other employees, enhanced
data protection and IT resilience requirements, financial market
infrastructure reforms, enhanced regulations in respect of the
provision of 'investment services and activities'.
There is also continued regulatory focus in certain areas,
including conduct, model risk governance, consumer protection in
retail or other financial markets (such as the FCA's rules
governing interactions with and the provision of services to retail
customers, the 'Consumer Duty'), competition and disputes regimes,
anti-money laundering, anti-corruption, anti-bribery, anti-tax
evasion, payment systems and digital assets, sanctions and
anti-terrorism laws and regulations.
In addition, there is significant oversight by competition
authorities. The competitive landscape for banks and other
financial institutions in the UK, EU/EEA, US and Asia is rapidly
changing. Recent regulatory and legal changes have resulted, and
may continue to result, in new market participants and changed
competitive dynamics in certain key areas. Regulatory and
competition authorities, including the CMA, are also reviewing and
focusing more on how they can support competition and innovation in
digital and other markets. Future competition investigations,
market reviews, or regulation of mergers may lead to the imposition
of financial penalties or market remedies that may adversely affect
NatWest Group's competitive or financial position. Recent
regulatory changes and heightened levels of public and regulatory
scrutiny in the UK, EU and US have resulted in increased capital,
funding and liquidity requirements, changes in the competitive
landscape, changes in other regulatory requirements and increased
operating costs, and have impacted, and will continue to impact,
product offerings and business models.
Moreover, uncertainties remain as to the extent to which EU/EEA
laws will diverge from UK law. For example, bank regulation in the
UK may diverge from European bank regulation following the
enactment of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2023 ('FSMA
2023') and the Retained EU Law (Revocation and Reform) Act 2023. In
particular, FSMA 2023 provides for the revocation of retained EU
laws relating to financial services regulation, but sets out that
this process will likely take a number of years and the intention
is that specific retained EU laws will not be revoked until such
time as replacement regulatory rules are in place.
The actions taken by regulators in response to any new or revised
bank regulation and other rules affecting financial services, may
adversely affect NatWest Group, including its business, non-UK
operations, group structure, compliance costs, intragroup
arrangements and capital requirements.
Other areas in which, and examples of where, governmental policies,
regulatory and accounting changes, and increased public and
regulatory scrutiny may have an adverse effect (some of which could
be material) on NatWest Group include, but are not limited
to:
−
general
changes in government, regulatory, competition, or central bank
policy (including as a result of the Bank Resolution
(Recapitalisation) Act 2025), or changes in regulatory regimes that
may influence investor decisions in the jurisdictions in which
NatWest Group operates;
−
rules
relating to foreign ownership, expropriation, nationalisation and
confiscation or appropriation of assets;
−
increased
scrutiny including from the CMA, the FCA, and the Payment Systems
Regulator, for the protection and resilience of, and competition
and innovation in, digital and other markets, UK payment systems
(with the development of the government's National Payments Vision
and Strategy) and retail banking developments relating to the UK
initiative on Open Banking, Open Finance and the European directive
on payment services;
−
the
ongoing compliance with CMA's Market Orders including the Retail
Banking Market Order 2017;
−
ongoing
competition litigation in the English courts around payment card
interchange fees, combined with increased regulatory scrutiny of
the Visa and Mastercard card schemes;
−
increased
risk of new class action claims being brought against NatWest Group
in the Competition Appeal Tribunal for breaches of competition
law;
−
increased
risk of legal action against NatWest Group in relation to the
remediation of defects in certain historical property
developments;
−
new
or increased regulations relating to data protection as well as IT
controls and resilience;
−
the
introduction of, and changes to, taxes, levies or fees applicable
to NatWest Group's operations, such as changes in tax rates
(including changes to the taxation of non-UK domiciled
individuals), changes
in the scope and administration of the Bank
Levy, increases
in the bank corporation tax surcharge in the UK, restrictions on
the tax deductibility of interest payments or further restrictions
imposed on the treatment of carry-forward tax losses that reduce
the value of deferred tax assets and require increased payments of
tax;
−
increased
innovation in private digital asset propositions, such as
stablecoin or tokenised deposits, which may challenge traditional
payment methods and have other potential adverse effects on UK
banks (such as higher funding costs or a reduced deposit
base);
−
regulatory
enforcement in the form of PRA imposed financial penalties for
failings in banks' regulatory reporting governance and controls,
and ongoing regulatory scrutiny, and the PRA's thematic reviews of
the governance, controls and processes for preparing regulatory
returns of selected UK banks, including NatWest
Group;
−
increased
regulatory scrutiny from the ECB in relation to NatWest Group's EU
based activities;
−
changes
in policy and practice regarding enforcement, investigations and
sanctions, supervisory activities and reviews;
−
the
introduction of regulatory requirements to ensure sufficient access
by the general public to cash services such as branches and
ATMs;
−
'Dear CEO' and similar letters
issued by supervisors and regulators from time to
time;
−
changes in policy intended to
expand consumer access to retail investment products and services,
including through the introduction of targeted
support;
−
reforms to the Consumer Credit
Act 1974 and the Financial Ombudsman Service;
−
new or increased regulations
relating to financial crime; and
−
any regulatory requirements
relating to the use of artificial intelligence and large language
models across the financial services industry (such as the European
Union Artificial Intelligence Act).
Any of these developments (including any failure to comply with or
correctly interpret new rules and regulations) could also have an
adverse effect on NatWest Group's authorisations and licences, the
products and services that it may offer, its reputation and the
value of its assets, NatWest Group's operations or legal entity
structure, and the manner in which it conducts its
business.
Material consequences could arise should NatWest Group be found
non-compliant with these regulatory requirements. Regulatory
developments may also result in an increased number of regulatory
investigations and proceedings and have increased the risks
relating to NatWest Group's ability to comply with the applicable
body of rules and regulations in the manner and within the
timeframes required.
Changes in laws, rules or regulations, or in their interpretation
or enforcement, or the implementation of new laws, rules or
regulations, including contradictory or conflicting laws, rules or
regulations by key regulators or policymakers in different
jurisdictions (such as divergence of regulations of digital assets
and cryptocurrency), or failure by NatWest Group to comply with
such laws, rules and regulations, may adversely affect NatWest
Group's business, results of operations and outlook. In addition,
uncertainty and insufficient international regulatory coordination
as enhanced supervisory standards are developed and implemented may
adversely affect NatWest Group's reputation, ability to engage in
effective business, capital and risk management
planning.
Any of the above may have a material adverse effect on NatWest
Group's future results, financial condition, prospects, and/or
reputation.
NatWest Group is exposed to the risks of various litigation
matters, regulatory and governmental actions and investigations as
well as remedial undertakings, the outcomes of which are inherently
difficult to predict, and which could have an adverse effect on
NatWest Group.
NatWest Group's operations are diverse and complex and it operates
in legal and regulatory environments that expose it to potentially
significant civil actions (including those following on from
regulatory sanction), as well as criminal, regulatory and
governmental proceedings. NatWest Group has resolved a number of
legal and regulatory actions over the past several years but
continues to be, and may in the future be, involved in such actions
in the US, the UK, Europe, Asia and other
jurisdictions.
NatWest Group is, has been or will likely be involved in a number
of significant legal and regulatory actions, including
investigations, proceedings and ongoing reviews (both formal and
informal) by governmental law enforcement and other agencies and
litigation proceedings, including in relation to the offering of
securities, conduct in the foreign exchange market, the setting of
benchmark rates such as LIBOR and related derivatives trading, the
issuance, underwriting, and sales and trading of fixed-income
securities (including government securities), product mis-selling,
customer mistreatment, anti-money laundering, antitrust, VAT
recovery, record keeping, reporting and various other issues. There
is also an increasing risk of new class action claims being brought
against NatWest Group in the Competition Appeal Tribunal for
breaches of competition law, as well as a risk of activist actions,
particularly relating to climate change and sustainability-related
matters.
Legal and regulatory actions are subject to many uncertainties, and
their outcomes, including the timing, amount of fines, damages or
settlements or the form of any settlements, which may be material
and in excess of any related provisions, are often difficult to
predict, particularly in the early stages of a case or
investigation. NatWest Group's expectation for resolution may
change and substantial additional provisions and costs may be
recognised in respect of any matter.
The resolution of significant investigations includes NWM Plc's
December 2021 spoofing-related guilty plea in the United States
that was agreed with the US Department of Justice ('DOJ'), and
involves a multi-year period of probation, ongoing commitments to
improve the compliance programme and reporting obligations. In the
event that NWM Plc does not meet its obligations to the DOJ, this
may lead to adverse consequences such as findings that NWM Plc
violated its probation term and possible re-sentencing, and/or
increased costs, amongst other consequences. For additional
information relating to this and other legal and regulatory
proceedings and matters to which NatWest Group is currently
exposed, refer to 'Litigation and regulatory matters' at Note 25 to
the consolidated accounts.
Recently resolved matters or adverse outcomes or resolution of
current or future legal, regulatory or other matters, including
conduct-related reviews and redress projects, could increase the
risk of greater regulatory and third-party scrutiny and/or result
in future legal or regulatory actions, and could have material
financial, reputational, or collateral consequences for NatWest
Group's business and result in restrictions or limitations on
NatWest Group's operations.
These may include the effective or actual disqualification from
carrying on certain regulated activities and consequences resulting
from the need to reapply for various important licences or obtain
waivers to conduct certain existing activities of NatWest Group,
particularly but not solely in the US, which may take a significant
period of time and the results and implications of which are
uncertain. Disqualification from carrying on any activities,
whether automatically as a result of the resolution of a particular
matter or as a result of the failure to obtain such licences or
waivers could adversely affect NatWest Group's business, in
particular in the US. This in turn and/or any fines, settlement
payments or penalties may have an adverse effect on NatWest
Group.
Failure to comply with undertakings made by NatWest Group to its
regulators, or the conditions of probation resulting from the
spoofing-related guilty plea, may result in additional measures or
penalties being taken against NatWest Group. In addition, any
failure to administer conduct redress processes adequately, or to
handle individual complaints fairly or appropriately, could result
in further claims as well as the imposition of additional measures
or limitations on NatWest Group's operations, additional
supervision by NatWest Group's regulators, and loss of investor
confidence.
Any of the above may have a material adverse effect on NatWest
Group's future results, financial condition, prospects, and/or
reputation.
Changes in tax legislation (or application thereof) or failure to
generate future taxable profits may impact the recoverability of
certain deferred tax assets recognised by NatWest
Group.
In accordance with the accounting policies set out in 'Critical
accounting policies and sources of estimation uncertainty', NatWest
Group has recognised deferred tax assets on losses available to
relieve future profits from tax only to the extent it is probable
that they will be recovered. The deferred tax assets are quantified
on the basis of current tax legislation and accounting standards
and are subject to change in respect of the future rates of tax or
the rules for computing taxable profits and offsetting allowable
losses.
Failure to generate sufficient future taxable profits or further
changes in tax legislation or the application thereof (including
with respect to rates of tax), or changes in accounting standards
may reduce the recoverable amount of the recognised tax loss
deferred tax assets, amounting to £814 million as at 31 December 2025.
Changes to the treatment of certain deferred tax assets may impact
NatWest Group's capital position. In addition, NatWest Group's
interpretation or application of relevant tax laws may differ from
those of the relevant tax authorities and provisions are made for
potential tax liabilities that may arise on the basis of the
amounts expected to be paid to tax authorities. The amounts
ultimately paid may differ materially from the amounts provided
depending on the ultimate resolution of such
matters.
Any of the above may have a material adverse effect on NatWest
Group's future results, financial condition, prospects, and/or
reputation.
Climate and sustainability-related risks
NatWest Group and its Value Chain face climate and
sustainability-related risks that may adversely affect NatWest
Group.
NatWest Group is subject to financial and non-financial risks
associated with climate change, nature-related and social matters
(together sustainability-related matters). These matters impact
NatWest Group directly through its own operations and employees,
and indirectly through its value chain, including its investors,
customers, counterparties and suppliers and business partners
(collectively, our 'Value Chain'), and business
activities.
Financial and non-financial risks from climate change can arise
through physical and transition risks. In addition, NatWest Group
may also be exposed to legal, regulatory or financial consequences
arising from NatWest Group's actions or omissions related to
climate and sustainability-related matters, giving rise to
liability risk.
Climate-related physical risks are associated with increasing
frequency and intensity of extreme weather events, including
floods, wildfires and changes in climate conditions. Such events
can impact employee health and safety, negatively impact local
communities where NatWest Group operates, damage assets, property
and infrastructure, and disrupt operations and supply chains,
resulting in changes in asset value, deterioration of the value of
collateral or insurance shortfalls and increased costs and credit
defaults.
This can negatively impact the creditworthiness of customers and
their ability and/or willingness to pay fees, afford new products
or repay their debts, leading to increased default rates,
delinquencies, write-offs and impairment charges in NatWest Group's
portfolios while simultaneously increasing NatWest Group's own
operational costs and exposing it to potential business continuity
challenges. In addition, NatWest Group's premises and operations,
or those of its critical outsourced functions, may experience
damage or disruption leading to increased costs for NatWest
Group.
Climate-related transition risks arise from the UK's and global
economies' shift to net zero. The pace and nature of
transition-whether orderly or disorderly-depends significantly on
timely and appropriate government policy and regulatory changes,
immediate actions from national and regional governments, new
technological innovation, changes to supply and demand systems
within industries, customer behaviour and market sentiment. In
addition, there is significant uncertainty about how climate change
and the world's transition to a net-zero economy will unfold over
time and how and when climate and other sustainability-related
risks will manifest. This could adversely impact profitability,
market stability and the resilience of financial institutions,
including NatWest Group. In addition, the transition may affect
NatWest Group's customers and businesses across sectors in
different ways and at different levels of risk. These timeframes
are considerably longer than NatWest Group's historical and current
strategic, financial, resilience and investment planning horizons.
Transition risks may also trigger reputational and liability
exposures, especially if NatWest Group is perceived as not meeting
its climate ambitions, targets and commitments, or not making
progress against its climate transition plan.
Moreover, beyond climate change, NatWest Group and its Value Chain
may face financial and non-financial risks arising from acute or
chronic nature-related physical risks (such as wildfires,
pollution, water stress and loss of biodiversity), nature-related
transition risks (such as risk arising directly or
indirectly due to changes in policy, market and technology, changes
in perception concerning an organisation's actual or perceived
nature impacts and from legal claims) and social issues (such as data
protection and privacy, impact of increased adoption of artificial
intelligence technology, human rights abuse, conflict and security,
land rights, labour rights and unjust working conditions, modern
slavery and child labour, discrimination and lack of support for
the vulnerable, negative impact on people's standard of living and
health, inequality, accessible banking and financial inclusion, and
financial crime).
There are heightened regulatory expectations, growing scrutiny from
investors, civil society, and other external stakeholders, with
businesses being increasingly expected to be transparent about
their efforts to identify, assess, mitigate and manage
nature-related and social risks. NatWest Group may face
reputational, regulatory non-compliance and litigation risks if it
is directly or indirectly linked to adverse nature-related or
social impacts and fails to adequately manage the risks associated
with those impacts.
Climate and sustainability-related risks are inter-linked and may
(i) adversely impact the broader economy-affecting interest rates,
inflation and growth-which in turn may reduce profitability and
financial stability; (ii) adversely impact asset pricing and
valuations of NatWest Group's and other securities, potentially
triggering wider disruptions across the financial system; (iii)
adversely impact the viability or resilience of business models
over the medium to longer term, particularly those business models
most vulnerable to climate and sustainability-related risks; (iv)
result in losses from liability or reputational damage, such as
negative media, activist pressure, or public criticism, if NatWest
Group or its Value Chain are linked to adverse climate or
sustainability-related impacts; and (v) may intensify existing
exposures across multiple risk categories, including credit,
operational (e.g. business continuity), market and liquidity,
model, reputational, regulatory compliance, conduct and pension
risks.
Failure by NatWest Group to timely identify, assess, mitigate and
manage climate and sustainability-related risks, as well as failure
to respond to emerging opportunities, evolving regulatory
requirements, and shifting market and external expectations, may
have a material adverse effect on NatWest Group's business,
financial condition, future results, access to finance, cost of
capital, reputation, and the value of its securities.
NatWest Group's strategy relating to climate and sustainability is
subject to execution and reputational risks. NatWest Group's
climate and sustainability-related ambitions, targets and
commitments may not be achieved, and its climate transition plan
may not be implemented, without timely and appropriate
government policy, technology developments, and suppliers,
customers and society supporting the
transition.
NatWest Group has an ambition to be net zero across its financed
emissions, assets under management and operational value chain by
2050. NatWest Group also has an ambition at least to halve the
climate impact of its financing activity by 2030, against a 2019
baseline, supported by portfolio-level activity-based
targets.
NatWest Group may also announce other climate and
sustainability-related ambitions, targets and commitments, and may
withdraw, retire, amend, replace or supersede existing ones from
time to time, whether or not they have been achieved, where it
considers this to be appropriate having regard to its strategic
objectives, or where required or appropriate to do so by applicable
law, regulation or supervisory expectations.
Achieving NatWest Group's climate and sustainability-related
ambitions, targets and commitments, and implementing its climate
transition plan, may require NatWest Group to make changes to its
business, operating model, existing exposures, and products and
services. This may include reducing its estimated financed
emissions and discontinuing certain activities over
time.
We acknowledge that (i) emission reductions are unlikely to be
linear; (ii) UK Parliament will set a new legal limit on greenhouse
emissions as part of the Seventh Carbon Budget in June 2026 which
may have an impact on the achievement of our climate and
sustainability-related ambitions, targets and commitments, and the
implementation of our climate transition plan; and (iii) increases
in lending and financing activities may wholly or partially offset
some or all of these reductions, which may increase the extent of
changes and reductions necessary.
NatWest Group's ability to achieve its strategy, including its
climate and sustainability-related ambitions, targets and
commitments, and implement its climate transition plan, is
dependent on many factors and uncertainties beyond NatWest Group's
control. These include (but are not limited to): (i) the extent and
pace of climate change, including the timing and manifestation of
physical and transition risks and nature loss; (ii) the
macroeconomic environment; (iii) the effectiveness of actions of
governments, legislators, regulators and businesses; (iv) the
response of wider society, NatWest Group's Value Chain and other
stakeholders to mitigate the impact of climate and
sustainability-related risks; (v) changes in customer and societal
behaviour and demand; (vi) availability of commercially viable
opportunities in sustainable finance markets, competition dynamics,
capital markets appetite, investor expectations, and external
credit and concentration risk appetites which may constrain the
scale or risk profile of opportunities accessible to NatWest Group;
(vii) developments in available technology; (viii) the rollout of
low carbon infrastructure; and (ix) the availability of accurate,
verifiable, reliable, auditable, consistent and comparable
data.
These external factors and other uncertainties may make it complex
for NatWest Group to achieve its climate and sustainability-related
ambitions, targets and commitments, and implement its climate
transition plan, and there is a risk that some or all of NatWest
Group's ambitions, targets and commitments may not be achieved, or
its climate transition plan, may not be implemented, within the
intended timescales, or at all.
Moreover, the rising energy demand associated with artificial
intelligence workloads, whether generated internally or through
third-party
providers, may increase NatWest
Group's own
operational footprint. While NatWest Group has taken initial steps to assess the
potential impacts of increased artificial
intelligence usage, its full effects
on NatWest
Group's own
operational footprint remain uncertain but could have an adverse
effect on achieving NatWest
Group's climate
and sustainability-related ambitions, targets and commitments
and on the implementation of NatWest
Group's climate
transition plan.
Any delay or failure in putting into effect, making progress
against, or meeting NatWest Group's climate and
sustainability-related ambitions, targets and commitments, and
implementing its climate transition plan, may have a material
adverse effect on NatWest Group's future results, financial
condition, prospects, and/or reputation and may increase the
climate and sustainability-related risks NatWest Group
faces.
There are significant limitations related to accessing accurate,
reliable, verifiable, auditable, consistent and comparable climate
and sustainability-related data that contribute to substantial
uncertainties in accurately assessing, managing and reporting on
climate and sustainability-related information and risks, as well
as making informed decisions.
NatWest Group's ability to assess, manage and report climate and
sustainability-related impacts, risks and opportunities, including
the effective measurement, governance and reporting of progress
against our climate and sustainability-related ambitions, targets
and commitments, and the implementation of its climate transition
plan, heavily depends on the availability of accurate, reliable,
verifiable, auditable, consistent and comparable internal and
external data from customers, counterparties, suppliers, and third
parties. Our internal data on customer groups, which is used to
source financial exposure and emissions data, and the systems and
controls supporting our non-financial reporting, are considerably
less sophisticated than those data, systems and controls used for
financial reporting and continue to involve manual processes. These
factors may increase the risk of inaccuracies or gaps in our
non-financial reporting, which could adversely affect
our ability to meet regulatory, investor or stakeholder
expectations. In the absence of accurate, reliable, verifiable,
auditable, consistent and comparable data, NatWest Group may rely
on estimates, proxies, or third-party methodologies, such as
sectoral averages or aggregated emissions data, that may be
outdated, prepared using varying assumptions, or not accurately
reflect specific counterparties or customers.
These limitations can affect the reliability of disclosures,
including financed and facilitated emissions, and may hinder
decision-making, risk management, regulatory compliance, and data
consolidation. This may result in misjudging progress against
climate ambitions, targets and commitments, misallocating capital,
or underestimating financial and reputational risks, while also
reducing comparability across institutions and increasing scrutiny
from stakeholders and regulators.
NatWest Group's assessment of climate and sustainability-related
impacts, risks and opportunities is expected to evolve as data
quality and methodologies improve. Current data gaps, limitations,
and reliance on estimates or third-party inputs may materially
impact NatWest Group's ability to make informed decisions on
climate and sustainability-related matters, manage risks, comply
with disclosure requirements, and monitor progress against NatWest
Group's climate and sustainability-related ambitions, targets and
commitments, and the implementation of its climate transition plan.
As a result, climate and sustainability-related disclosures may be
amended, updated, or restated from time to time as methodologies,
data quality or regulatory expectations evolve. NatWest Group does
not undertake to restate prior disclosures except as required by
applicable law or regulation, even where subsequently available
data or methodologies differ from those used at the time of the
original disclosure.
Climate risks are inherently forward-looking and complex to model.
The lack of historical data, evolving scientific understanding, and
immature measurement frameworks introduce significant uncertainty
into scenario analysis and financial forecasting.
The outputs of climate risk modelling, such as emissions pathways
and reduction targets. are subject to long timeframes and
assumptions that differ significantly from traditional financial
planning cycles.
NatWest Group's internal capabilities to assess, model, report on
and manage climate and sustainability-related risks continue to
evolve. However, even when such capabilities are suitably
developed, the high level of uncertainty regarding any assumptions
modelled, the highly subjective nature of risk measurement and
mitigation techniques coupled with persistent data gaps may result
in inadequate risk management information and frameworks, or
ineffective business adaptation or mitigation strategies or
regulatory non-compliance.
Any of the above may have a material adverse effect on NatWest
Group's business, future results, financial condition, prospects,
reputation and the price of its securities.
NatWest Group is subject to an increasingly complex and evolving
landscape of climate and sustainability-related legal, regulatory,
and supervisory expectations and there is an increasing risk of
regulatory non-compliance, investigations, litigation, and
enforcement actions.
NatWest Group is subject to an increasingly complex and evolving
landscape of climate and sustainability-related legal, regulatory,
and supervisory expectations, which may vary significantly and
remain fragmented across the UK, EU, US, and other jurisdictions in
which NatWest Group operates.
This growing divergence creates legal and operational uncertainty,
may expose NatWest Group to conflicting legal and regulatory
requirements, and may increase the risks of regulatory
non-compliance, regulatory enforcement and reputational
damage.
The growing politicisation and polarisation of climate and
sustainability-related matters across jurisdictions may further
exacerbate existing risks and result in reduced market access,
adverse public perception, or stakeholder disengagement. Customers,
investors or stakeholders may choose not to engage with NatWest
Group if they perceive NatWest Group's strategy in relation to
climate and sustainability as either lacking ambition or progress,
or conversely, as overly focused on climate and sustainability, or
if they object to specific climate or
sustainability-related decisions or sectoral policies adopted by
NatWest Group. This may adversely affect customer relationships,
investor sentiment or stakeholder engagement. For example,
financing the transition of hard-to-abate sectors may be viewed by
some as misaligned with climate goals, potentially resulting in
reputational damage.
At the same time, regulatory and enforcement approaches to climate
and sustainability-related matters are increasingly diverging and,
in some cases, conflicting across jurisdictions. While some
authorities are advancing stricter requirements, others are
introducing sanctions targeting institutions that pursue climate
and sustainability-related initiatives.
Furthermore, NatWest Group may face litigation, complaints or other
forms of challenge from shareholders, customers, campaign groups or
other stakeholders arising from allegations of actual or perceived
environmental or social harm, including climate-related impacts,
nature-related degradation, human rights abuses, or deficiencies in
governance and due diligence practices. At the same time, NatWest
Group may face contradictory legal or regulatory action asserting
that it has placed undue or disproportionate focus on climate and
sustainability-related considerations.
Failure by NatWest Group to comply with evolving legal and
regulatory requirements, or supervisory expectations-including
divergent and fragmented frameworks across jurisdictions, where
relevant-may increase the risk of regulatory non-compliance, may
adversely impact its ability to achieve its climate and
sustainability-related ambitions, targets and commitments, and
implement its climate transition plan, and may adversely impact its
investor base and reputation. It may also result in regulatory
non-compliance investigations, litigation and enforcement actions,
which in turn may have a material adverse effect on NatWest Group's
business, future results, financial condition, prospects,
reputation, and the price of its securities.
Legal Entity Identifier: 2138005O9XJIJN4JPN90
SIGNATURE
Pursuant
to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the
registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf
by the undersigned, thereunto duly authorized.
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NatWest Group plc
(Registrant)
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Date:
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13
February 2026
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By:
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/s/
Mark Stevens
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Name:
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Mark
Stevens
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Title:
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Assistant
Secretary
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